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1 of 8 matches with xG: 3 goals from 5.1 xG (0.58 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov 2–1 Rodina Moskva | 2.62–2.51 | 43% · 18% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Krylia Sovetov |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.