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8 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 21.2 xG (0.76 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmat 0–1 FC Orenburg | 1.65–0.76 | 59% · 24% · 17% | Won against the xG: FC Orenburg |
| Akron 3–1 Dynamo | 0.86–2.14 | 14% · 19% · 67% | Won against the xG: Akron |
| Fakel 0–1 Rodina Moskva | 0.64–1.20 | 20% · 31% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Rodina Moskva |
| Rubin 0–2 Krylia Sovetov | 0.27–1.02 | 10% · 36% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Krylia Sovetov |
| FC Krasnodar 1–1 Baltika | 0.92–0.83 | 36% · 33% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Rostov 2–0 Lokomotiv | 1.62–0.91 | 54% · 25% · 21% | Win in line with xG for FC Rostov |
| CSKA Moscow 2–0 Spartak Moscow | 1.69–1.97 | 34% · 22% · 45% | Close call, CSKA Moscow won |
| Zenit 2–0 Dinamo Makhachkala | 3.74–0.94 | 86% · 8% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Zenit |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.