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8 of 8 matches with xG: 19 goals from 18.9 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin 1–0 Fakel | 0.97–0.56 | 44% · 35% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Rubin |
| Dynamo 2–0 Akhmat | 2.54–0.64 | 79% · 14% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo |
| Rodina Moskva 2–1 FC Krasnodar | 0.91–1.11 | 30% · 30% · 40% | Close call, Rodina Moskva won |
| FC Orenburg 0–0 CSKA Moscow | 1.17–0.69 | 47% · 31% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dinamo Makhachkala 0–3 FC Rostov | 0.72–0.54 | 35% · 41% · 24% | Close call, FC Rostov won |
| Baltika 2–1 Akron | 1.63–0.87 | 55% · 25% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Baltika |
| Lokomotiv 0–4 Spartak Moscow | 1.03–2.63 | 13% · 16% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Spartak Moscow |
| Krylia Sovetov 0–3 Zenit | 0.60–2.31 | 8% · 16% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Zenit |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.