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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 24.7 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Khaleej Saihat 1–4 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.09–1.93 | 21% · 22% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al Najma 1–0 Al Shabab | 1.39–0.94 | 47% · 27% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Al Najma |
| Al Kholood 0–0 Al-Fateh | 1.29–0.20 | 66% · 29% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Al Kholood had 66% |
| Al-Nassr 4–1 Damac | 1.27–0.87 | 46% · 29% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al-Ittihad FC 1–5 Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1.74–4.16 | 11% · 11% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| NEOM 1–1 Al-Ettifaq | 1.89–0.60 | 68% · 21% · 11% | Draw against the xG: NEOM had 68% |
| Al-Hazm 2–0 Al Taawon | 3.68–0.81 | 88% · 8% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hazm |
| Al Riyadh 1–0 Al Okhdood | 1.03–0.54 | 47% · 34% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Al Riyadh |
| Al-Fayha 0–1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 0.21–1.06 | 7% · 35% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.