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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 27.3 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab 2–4 Al-Nassr | 1.41–3.40 | 12% · 13% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al-Fateh 2–0 Al Najma | 1.88–0.50 | 71% · 20% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Al-Fateh |
| Al-Ettifaq 1–3 Al-Ittihad FC | 1.41–3.30 | 13% · 13% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ittihad FC |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–0 Al-Hazm | 2.46–0.05 | 90% · 9% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| Damac 3–0 Al-Fayha | 1.44–0.24 | 68% · 26% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Damac |
| Al Taawon 1–1 Al Riyadh | 1.97–1.53 | 48% · 22% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al Okhdood 3–1 Al Khaleej Saihat | 1.31–1.35 | 36% · 26% · 38% | Close call, Al Okhdood won |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–0 NEOM | 2.12–0.68 | 71% · 19% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–0 Al Kholood | 1.55–0.72 | 57% · 26% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.