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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 22.6 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Khaleej Saihat 0–5 Al-Ettifaq | 0.42–2.74 | 4% · 11% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ettifaq |
| Al Najma 2–2 Al-Hazm | 0.62–1.66 | 14% · 24% · 63% | Draw against the xG: Al-Hazm had 63% |
| Al-Fayha 1–2 Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1.53–1.45 | 40% · 24% · 36% | Close call, Al-Qadisiyah FC won |
| Al Riyadh 1–0 Al-Fateh | 2.23–0.62 | 74% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Al Riyadh |
| Al-Ittihad FC 2–1 Damac | 1.37–1.30 | 39% · 26% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ittihad FC |
| NEOM 2–1 Al Shabab | 2.18–1.26 | 58% · 20% · 21% | Win in line with xG for NEOM |
| Al Taawon 1–2 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.00–0.97 | 35% · 31% · 34% | Close call, Al-Ahli Jeddah won |
| Al Kholood 0–0 Al Okhdood | 0.52–0.43 | 29% · 48% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al-Nassr 1–1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1.36–0.91 | 47% · 28% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.