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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 29.4 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fateh 2–2 NEOM | 2.59–1.42 | 63% · 18% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Al-Fateh had 63% |
| Damac 0–2 Al Khaleej Saihat | 0.81–1.42 | 21% · 27% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Al Khaleej Saihat |
| Al-Hazm 0–3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1.11–3.24 | 9% · 12% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al Shabab 1–5 Al Taawon | 1.78–1.72 | 40% · 22% · 38% | Close call, Al Taawon won |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah 4–0 Al Okhdood | 2.35–0.28 | 84% · 13% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 3–1 Al-Nassr | 2.54–0.58 | 80% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| Al-Fayha 4–2 Al Riyadh | 2.15–1.47 | 53% · 21% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Al-Fayha |
| Al-Ittihad FC 0–0 Al Kholood | 1.65–0.87 | 56% · 24% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Al-Ittihad FC had 56% |
| Al-Ettifaq 0–0 Al Najma | 2.43–1.01 | 69% · 17% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Al-Ettifaq had 69% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.