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9 of 9 matches with xG: 41 goals from 36.9 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Khaleej Saihat 4–2 Al-Hazm | 3.31–0.91 | 83% · 11% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Al Khaleej Saihat |
| Al-Nassr 5–3 Al Kholood | 3.79–1.98 | 71% · 13% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al Riyadh 0–6 Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1.42–5.26 | 4% · 5% · 91% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| Abha 1–1 Al-Ittihad FC | 0.76–1.38 | 21% · 28% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Al-Ittihad FC had 52% |
| Al Diriyah 1–2 NEOM | 1.30–1.84 | 27% · 23% · 50% | Win in line with xG for NEOM |
| Al Shabab 6–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 4.29–1.03 | 89% · 7% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Al Shabab |
| Al Taawon 1–1 Al-Ettifaq | 1.38–1.68 | 32% · 24% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al-Fayha 4–1 Al-Faisaly FC | 1.34–1.18 | 40% · 27% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Al-Fayha |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–0 Al-Fateh | 3.72–0.28 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.