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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 29.0 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hazm 2–2 Al-Fayha | 2.40–0.98 | 69% · 18% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Al-Hazm had 69% |
| Al-Fateh 1–3 Al Shabab | 1.07–3.43 | 8% · 11% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Al Shabab |
| Al-Faisaly FC 1–3 Al-Nassr | 1.28–0.62 | 53% · 29% · 18% | Won against the xG: Al-Nassr |
| Al-Ittihad FC 2–0 Al Diriyah | 2.74–0.93 | 75% · 15% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ittihad FC |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah 4–1 Al Khaleej Saihat | 3.98–0.52 | 93% · 5% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 0.84–2.89 | 8% · 13% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| NEOM 2–0 Abha | 1.39–0.74 | 52% · 28% · 20% | Win in line with xG for NEOM |
| Al Kholood 0–3 Al-Ettifaq | 1.98–1.33 | 53% · 22% · 26% | Won against the xG: Al-Ettifaq |
| Al Riyadh 2–1 Al Taawon | 1.46–0.42 | 63% · 26% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Al Riyadh |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.