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8 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 26.3 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fateh 2–3 Al Khaleej Saihat | 0.69–1.04 | 24% · 33% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Al Khaleej Saihat |
| Al-Fayha 2–3 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0.70–4.18 | 2% · 5% · 92% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1–0 Al-Hazm | 3.16–0.54 | 88% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al Shabab 2–2 Al-Faisaly FC | 1.31–1.56 | 32% · 25% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al Diriyah 1–0 Al Riyadh | 1.41–0.90 | 49% · 27% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Al Diriyah |
| Al Taawon 0–1 Al-Qadisiyah FC | 0.48–2.21 | 7% · 16% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| Al-Ettifaq 1–4 Al-Ittihad FC | 1.83–2.98 | 22% · 17% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ittihad FC |
| Al-Nassr 1–0 NEOM | 2.86–0.48 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.