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Premiership 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 1

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Matches

Matchday 1 in xG

6 of 6 matches with xG: 16 goals from 16.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Kilmarnock 2–2 Livingston1.60–1.4441% · 24% · 34%Draw in line with xG
Motherwell 1–1 Rangers2.75–0.7280% · 13% · 7%Draw against the xG: Motherwell had 80%
Falkirk 2–2 Dundee United1.17–1.0938% · 29% · 34%Draw in line with xG
Dundee 1–2 Hibernian0.32–1.1510% · 32% · 57%Win in line with xG for Hibernian
Celtic 1–0 St Mirren2.05–0.2880% · 16% · 4%Win in line with xG for Celtic
Hearts 2–0 Aberdeen1.77–1.8837% · 22% · 41%Close call, Hearts won

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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