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6 of 6 matches with xG: 17 goals from 13.2 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Livingston 3–1 Falkirk | 1.59–0.83 | 55% · 25% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Livingston |
| St Mirren 0–0 Motherwell | 0.84–0.59 | 39% · 37% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rangers 1–1 Dundee | 1.82–0.64 | 66% · 22% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Rangers had 66% |
| Aberdeen 0–2 Celtic | 0.42–1.16 | 13% · 32% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Celtic |
| Dundee United 2–3 Hearts | 1.12–2.02 | 21% · 21% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Hearts |
| Hibernian 2–2 Kilmarnock | 1.24–0.96 | 43% · 29% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.