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6 of 6 matches with xG: 14 goals from 18.8 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee United 0–3 Falkirk | 1.60–1.97 | 32% · 22% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Falkirk |
| Hibernian 2–0 Dundee | 2.31–1.46 | 57% · 20% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Hibernian |
| Kilmarnock 1–3 Motherwell | 1.29–1.72 | 29% · 24% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Motherwell |
| Rangers 2–1 Livingston | 1.16–1.48 | 30% · 26% · 45% | Close call, Rangers won |
| St Mirren 0–1 Celtic | 1.40–0.94 | 48% · 27% · 25% | Won against the xG: Celtic |
| Aberdeen 1–0 Hearts | 0.63–2.81 | 6% · 12% · 82% | Won against the xG: Aberdeen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.