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6 of 6 matches with xG: 10 goals from 11.9 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee 3–1 St Mirren | 0.65–1.25 | 19% · 30% · 51% | Won against the xG: Dundee |
| Motherwell 0–0 Hearts | 0.66–0.41 | 36% · 44% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kilmarnock 1–1 Dundee United | 1.83–1.49 | 46% · 23% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hibernian 1–2 Celtic | 1.66–0.90 | 55% · 24% · 20% | Won against the xG: Celtic |
| Rangers 0–0 Falkirk | 1.07–0.14 | 61% · 34% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Rangers had 61% |
| Livingston 0–1 Aberdeen | 0.75–1.12 | 24% · 31% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Aberdeen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.