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6 of 6 matches with xG: 12 goals from 15.4 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee United 1–1 Hibernian | 1.05–1.05 | 35% · 30% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kilmarnock 0–1 Falkirk | 0.87–1.46 | 22% · 27% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Falkirk |
| Motherwell 1–0 Dundee | 1.64–0.12 | 77% · 21% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Motherwell |
| St Mirren 1–0 Livingston | 1.89–0.06 | 83% · 16% · 1% | Win in line with xG for St Mirren |
| Hearts 2–1 Rangers | 1.50–0.94 | 50% · 26% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Hearts |
| Celtic 3–1 Aberdeen | 3.72–1.11 | 84% · 10% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Celtic |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.