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6 of 6 matches with xG: 15 goals from 18.1 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernian 3–2 Hearts | 0.88–1.91 | 17% · 22% · 62% | Won against the xG: Hibernian |
| Dundee 1–0 Falkirk | 1.52–1.00 | 49% · 26% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Dundee |
| Livingston 2–4 Celtic | 0.88–2.70 | 10% · 15% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Celtic |
| Rangers 1–0 Motherwell | 3.67–0.62 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Rangers |
| St Mirren 0–0 Kilmarnock | 1.96–0.52 | 72% · 19% · 9% | Draw against the xG: St Mirren had 72% |
| Aberdeen 1–1 Dundee United | 1.48–0.99 | 49% · 26% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.