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1 of 6 matches with xG: 2 goals from 2.5 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falkirk 0–2 Hearts | 0.87–1.64 | 20% · 25% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Hearts |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.