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6 of 6 matches with xG: 13 goals from 18.6 xG (0.70 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic 1–3 Rangers | 1.73–1.40 | 45% · 23% · 31% | Close call, Rangers won |
| Dundee United 0–1 Dundee | 1.78–2.52 | 27% · 19% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Dundee |
| Falkirk 1–0 Aberdeen | 2.11–0.63 | 72% · 18% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Falkirk |
| Hearts 1–0 Livingston | 2.14–0.61 | 73% · 18% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Hearts |
| Kilmarnock 1–3 Hibernian | 0.70–2.65 | 7% · 14% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Hibernian |
| Motherwell 2–0 St Mirren | 1.76–0.52 | 68% · 22% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Motherwell |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.