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5 of 6 matches with xG: 8 goals from 14.5 xG (0.55 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock 3–0 Aberdeen | 3.64–1.79 | 72% · 13% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Kilmarnock |
| Livingston 0–2 Motherwell | 0.20–1.46 | 5% · 25% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Motherwell |
| St Mirren 0–0 Dundee | 0.47–0.94 | 18% · 36% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dundee United 0–3 Hearts | 0.16–4.17 | 0% · 2% · 97% | Win in line with xG for Hearts |
| Hibernian 0–0 Rangers | 1.54–0.18 | 73% · 23% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Hibernian had 73% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.