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5 of 6 matches with xG: 20 goals from 17.9 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernian 3–2 Dundee United | 2.34–1.34 | 60% · 19% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Hibernian |
| Livingston 1–2 Falkirk | 1.08–2.19 | 18% · 20% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Falkirk |
| Rangers 5–1 Kilmarnock | 3.68–1.43 | 78% · 11% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Rangers |
| Aberdeen 1–2 Celtic | 1.42–1.85 | 30% · 23% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Celtic |
| Dundee 2–1 Motherwell | 1.23–1.38 | 33% · 26% · 40% | Close call, Dundee won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.