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6 of 6 matches with xG: 14 goals from 18.0 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts 1–0 Hibernian | 0.66–0.41 | 36% · 44% · 20% | Close call, Hearts won |
| Celtic 2–1 Livingston | 3.34–1.05 | 81% · 11% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Celtic |
| Falkirk 1–0 Dundee | 1.01–1.41 | 27% · 27% · 46% | Won against the xG: Falkirk |
| Kilmarnock 4–3 St Mirren | 2.70–1.88 | 56% · 18% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Kilmarnock |
| Motherwell 1–1 Rangers | 1.39–1.36 | 38% · 26% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dundee United 0–0 Aberdeen | 1.31–1.49 | 33% · 25% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.