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6 of 6 matches with xG: 21 goals from 16.1 xG (1.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee 3–3 Hibernian | 0.81–2.01 | 14% · 20% · 65% | Draw against the xG: Hibernian had 65% |
| Falkirk 5–1 Kilmarnock | 3.22–0.31 | 92% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Falkirk |
| Hearts 1–0 Aberdeen | 1.69–0.36 | 71% · 22% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Hearts |
| Livingston 1–1 St Mirren | 0.75–1.08 | 25% · 32% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Motherwell 2–0 Dundee United | 1.78–0.34 | 73% · 20% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Motherwell |
| Rangers 2–2 Celtic | 1.50–2.24 | 25% · 20% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Celtic had 54% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.