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6 of 6 matches with xG: 12 goals from 15.3 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen 1–1 Falkirk | 1.40–0.56 | 58% · 27% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Aberdeen had 58% |
| Celtic 3–1 Motherwell | 2.14–0.52 | 75% · 17% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Celtic |
| Hibernian 0–0 Livingston | 1.85–0.11 | 81% · 17% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Hibernian had 81% |
| Kilmarnock 1–0 Hearts | 1.12–0.80 | 43% · 31% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Kilmarnock |
| St Mirren 0–1 Rangers | 0.24–2.36 | 3% · 12% · 85% | Win in line with xG for Rangers |
| Dundee 2–2 Dundee United | 1.32–2.87 | 15% · 16% · 69% | Draw against the xG: Dundee United had 69% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.