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6 of 6 matches with xG: 13 goals from 12.2 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falkirk 1–2 St Mirren | 1.34–0.91 | 47% · 28% · 25% | Won against the xG: St Mirren |
| Hearts 1–0 Dundee | 1.08–0.54 | 49% · 33% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Hearts |
| Kilmarnock 2–0 Livingston | 1.87–0.84 | 62% · 22% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Kilmarnock |
| Motherwell 0–0 Hibernian | 0.45–0.41 | 26% · 50% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rangers 4–1 Aberdeen | 1.64–0.54 | 64% · 24% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Rangers |
| Dundee United 2–0 Celtic | 1.51–1.09 | 47% · 26% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Dundee United |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.