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6 of 6 matches with xG: 19 goals from 22.3 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee United 1–1 Motherwell | 1.95–1.77 | 43% · 21% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| St Johnstone 2–1 Dundee | 1.62–0.64 | 61% · 24% · 14% | Win in line with xG for St Johnstone |
| Aberdeen 0–4 Hibernian | 0.99–2.43 | 14% · 17% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Hibernian |
| St Mirren 0–2 Rangers | 1.11–3.35 | 9% · 12% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Rangers |
| Hearts 2–5 Falkirk | 2.01–2.61 | 30% · 18% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Falkirk |
| Celtic 1–0 Kilmarnock | 2.29–1.53 | 55% · 20% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Celtic |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.