Premiership 2026/2027 xG Round-Up: Matchday 12

Matchday 12 in xG

3 of 7 matches with xG: 7 goals from 10.7 xG (0.66 goals per xG).

• Most xG without a win: Kilmarnock 2–2 St Johnstone (xG 3.39–0.80). Draw against the xG: Kilmarnock had 85% to win on xG.
• Biggest win against the xG: Falkirk 2–0 Celtic (xG 1.06–2.83). The winner had 11% on xG.
• Win most in line with xG: Motherwell 1–0 St Mirren (xG 2.36–0.23). The winner had 85% on xG.
• Most xG: Kilmarnock 2–2 St Johnstone (xG 3.39–0.80). 4.19 xG in all.
• Most one-sided: Kilmarnock 2–2 St Johnstone (xG 3.39–0.80). An xG gap of 2.59.
• Most goals above xG: St Johnstone, +1.20 goals above xG.
• Most goals below xG: Celtic, -2.83 goals below xG.

Every match

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 11 · Matchday 13