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6 of 6 matches with xG: 19 goals from 20.3 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen 0–1 Falkirk | 1.72–1.08 | 52% · 24% · 24% | Won against the xG: Falkirk |
| Celtic 2–2 Dundee United | 2.02–0.84 | 65% · 20% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Celtic had 65% |
| Dundee 3–1 Kilmarnock | 2.29–2.11 | 44% · 20% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Dundee |
| St Johnstone 2–2 Motherwell | 1.48–1.53 | 37% · 24% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| St Mirren 1–1 Hibernian | 1.80–1.42 | 47% · 23% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hearts 2–2 Rangers | 1.75–2.26 | 30% · 20% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.