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6 of 6 matches with xG: 20 goals from 20.3 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee United 3–2 Aberdeen | 1.54–1.58 | 37% · 24% · 39% | Close call, Dundee United won |
| Falkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock | 2.08–1.89 | 43% · 21% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Falkirk |
| Rangers 4–0 St Johnstone | 4.61–0.61 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Rangers |
| St Mirren 2–1 Dundee | 1.48–1.50 | 37% · 24% · 38% | Close call, St Mirren won |
| Hibernian 1–2 Celtic | 1.35–1.18 | 41% · 27% · 33% | Close call, Celtic won |
| Motherwell 0–2 Hearts | 1.34–1.12 | 42% · 27% · 31% | Close call, Hearts won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.