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7 of 8 matches with xG: 14 goals from 18.4 xG (0.76 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Radnik Surdulica 1–0 OFK Beograd | 1.81–0.77 | 62% · 22% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Radnik Surdulica |
| Napredak 0–1 Mladost Lucani | 0.72–1.06 | 25% · 32% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Mladost Lucani |
| Radnicki NIS 0–1 Vojvodina | 1.08–0.17 | 60% · 34% · 6% | Won against the xG: Vojvodina |
| Železničar Pančevo 2–0 Javor | 2.48–0.56 | 79% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Železničar Pančevo |
| FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 2–3 FK Crvena Zvezda | 1.80–2.50 | 28% · 19% · 53% | Win in line with xG for FK Crvena Zvezda |
| IMT Novi Beograd 1–1 TSC Backa Topola | 1.29–0.79 | 48% · 29% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| FK Partizan 2–0 Novi Pazar | 2.17–1.16 | 60% · 20% · 20% | Win in line with xG for FK Partizan |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.