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8 of 8 matches with xG: 21 goals from 25.5 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Radnik Surdulica 3–1 Vojvodina | 1.90–1.01 | 58% · 22% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Radnik Surdulica |
| Napredak 1–1 Cukaricki | 0.35–2.50 | 4% · 12% · 84% | Draw against the xG: Cukaricki had 84% |
| FK Partizan 1–3 Železničar Pančevo | 2.26–2.21 | 41% · 19% · 39% | Close call, Železničar Pančevo won |
| FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 2–2 OFK Beograd | 0.91–1.63 | 21% · 25% · 54% | Draw against the xG: OFK Beograd had 54% |
| IMT Novi Beograd 1–3 Mladost Lucani | 2.01–2.35 | 34% · 20% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Mladost Lucani |
| Radnicki NIS 1–1 TSC Backa Topola | 0.90–0.47 | 44% · 37% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| Javor 1–0 FK Crvena Zvezda | 0.96–4.24 | 4% · 6% · 90% | Won against the xG: Javor |
| Radnicki 1923 0–0 Novi Pazar | 1.05–0.74 | 42% · 32% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.