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8 of 8 matches with xG: 24 goals from 19.7 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cukaricki 1–1 IMT Novi Beograd | 0.71–1.43 | 19% · 27% · 54% | Draw against the xG: IMT Novi Beograd had 54% |
| Železničar Pančevo 1–0 Radnicki 1923 | 0.37–0.34 | 23% · 56% · 21% | Close call, Železničar Pančevo won |
| Mladost Lucani 2–1 Radnicki NIS | 1.94–0.57 | 70% · 20% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Mladost Lucani |
| Vojvodina 2–0 FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 2.57–0.27 | 87% · 11% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Vojvodina |
| Novi Pazar 2–1 Napredak | 1.43–0.49 | 61% · 27% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Novi Pazar |
| FK Partizan 4–0 Javor | 1.21–1.23 | 36% · 27% · 37% | Close call, FK Partizan won |
| TSC Backa Topola 0–2 Radnik Surdulica | 1.08–0.92 | 39% · 31% · 30% | Close call, Radnik Surdulica won |
| OFK Beograd 3–4 FK Crvena Zvezda | 1.56–3.55 | 13% · 13% · 75% | Win in line with xG for FK Crvena Zvezda |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.