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8 of 8 matches with xG: 22 goals from 22.5 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Javor 0–1 OFK Beograd | 1.37–1.61 | 33% · 24% · 43% | Win in line with xG for OFK Beograd |
| Napredak 2–1 Železničar Pančevo | 1.28–2.67 | 16% · 17% · 67% | Won against the xG: Napredak |
| IMT Novi Beograd 2–3 Novi Pazar | 1.07–1.95 | 20% · 22% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Novi Pazar |
| Radnicki 1923 2–4 FK Partizan | 0.97–2.85 | 10% · 14% · 76% | Win in line with xG for FK Partizan |
| FK Crvena Zvezda 0–1 Vojvodina | 0.94–1.08 | 31% · 31% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Vojvodina |
| Radnik Surdulica 0–0 Mladost Lucani | 0.51–0.54 | 26% · 45% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Radnicki NIS 1–2 Cukaricki | 0.23–3.37 | 1% · 5% · 94% | Win in line with xG for Cukaricki |
| FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 1–2 TSC Backa Topola | 0.23–1.83 | 4% · 19% · 77% | Win in line with xG for TSC Backa Topola |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.