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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 30.4 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Girona 7–0 Granada CF | 4.62–1.05 | 91% · 6% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Osasuna 1–1 Villarreal | 0.95–1.56 | 23% · 25% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Villarreal had 52% |
| Real Sociedad 0–2 Atletico Madrid | 0.61–2.17 | 9% · 18% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Almeria 6–1 Cadiz | 3.16–0.50 | 88% · 9% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Almeria |
| Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Athletic Club | 1.07–0.70 | 44% · 32% · 24% | Won against the xG: Athletic Club |
| Real Madrid 0–0 Real Betis | 0.92–0.86 | 35% · 33% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Getafe 1–2 Mallorca | 0.89–1.49 | 23% · 26% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Mallorca |
| Celta Vigo 2–2 Valencia | 1.52–1.96 | 30% · 22% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Las Palmas 1–1 Alaves | 0.99–2.59 | 12% · 16% · 72% | Draw against the xG: Alaves had 72% |
| Sevilla 1–2 Barcelona | 1.47–1.35 | 40% · 25% · 35% | Close call, Barcelona won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.