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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 24.3 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis 2–1 Celta Vigo | 1.26–1.60 | 30% · 25% · 45% | Close call, Real Betis won |
| Atletico Madrid 3–1 Girona | 2.40–2.39 | 41% · 19% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Getafe | 0.89–0.24 | 51% · 40% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Rayo Vallecano had 51% |
| Mallorca 0–1 Real Madrid | 0.59–1.60 | 13% · 25% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Cadiz 0–1 Barcelona | 0.75–0.76 | 31% · 37% · 32% | Close call, Barcelona won |
| Las Palmas 0–2 Sevilla | 0.07–2.08 | 1% · 13% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
| Granada CF 2–0 Alaves | 1.45–0.34 | 66% · 26% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Granada CF |
| Athletic Club 1–1 Villarreal | 0.65–2.10 | 10% · 19% · 71% | Draw against the xG: Villarreal had 71% |
| Real Sociedad 2–2 Almeria | 1.56–1.42 | 41% · 24% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Osasuna 0–1 Valencia | 1.93–0.22 | 79% · 17% · 3% | Won against the xG: Valencia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.