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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 28.3 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis 1–1 Valencia | 0.93–0.77 | 38% · 34% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Real Madrid 2–0 Real Sociedad | 2.58–0.77 | 76% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Leganes 3–0 Valladolid | 2.13–0.39 | 78% · 16% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Leganes |
| Espanyol 2–0 Las Palmas | 1.86–0.49 | 71% · 20% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Espanyol |
| Alaves 1–1 Osasuna | 1.96–1.66 | 45% · 22% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Getafe 1–2 Celta Vigo | 0.46–1.47 | 11% · 26% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Celta Vigo |
| Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Mallorca | 2.11–0.66 | 71% · 19% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Rayo Vallecano had 71% |
| Girona 0–4 Atletico Madrid | 0.05–2.74 | 0% · 7% · 93% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Villarreal 4–2 Sevilla | 1.06–1.51 | 27% · 26% · 48% | Won against the xG: Villarreal |
| Athletic Club 0–3 Barcelona | 1.20–3.49 | 9% · 11% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.