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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 30.0 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid 4–1 Real Betis | 4.86–0.92 | 93% · 4% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Barcelona 2–3 Villarreal | 1.37–1.75 | 30% · 23% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Celta Vigo 1–2 Rayo Vallecano | 2.64–1.03 | 72% · 16% · 12% | Won against the xG: Rayo Vallecano |
| Valencia 0–1 Athletic Club | 0.48–1.37 | 13% · 28% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Mallorca 1–2 Getafe | 0.42–1.61 | 9% · 24% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Getafe |
| Real Sociedad 3–2 Girona | 1.92–2.15 | 35% · 20% · 44% | Close call, Real Sociedad won |
| Sevilla 0–2 Real Madrid | 0.51–2.02 | 8% · 19% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Valladolid 0–1 Alaves | 1.45–1.30 | 41% · 25% · 34% | Close call, Alaves won |
| Las Palmas 0–1 Leganes | 0.63–1.56 | 15% · 25% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Leganes |
| Osasuna 2–0 Espanyol | 1.25–0.79 | 47% · 29% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Osasuna |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.