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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 22.6 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid 0–1 Girona | 0.91–1.39 | 25% · 27% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Real Sociedad 0–1 Celta Vigo | 1.73–1.10 | 52% · 24% · 24% | Won against the xG: Celta Vigo |
| Sevilla 1–0 Las Palmas | 1.07–0.45 | 51% · 34% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
| Alaves 1–0 Valencia | 1.81–0.61 | 66% · 22% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Alaves |
| Villarreal 3–0 Leganes | 1.88–1.05 | 57% · 22% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Real Madrid 2–1 Mallorca | 2.56–0.49 | 82% · 13% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Osasuna 2–0 Atletico Madrid | 0.58–1.36 | 16% · 28% · 56% | Won against the xG: Osasuna |
| Rayo Vallecano 2–2 Real Betis | 1.19–1.17 | 37% · 28% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Getafe 0–2 Athletic Club | 0.41–0.86 | 17% · 39% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Espanyol 0–2 Barcelona | 1.39–0.63 | 55% · 28% · 17% | Won against the xG: Barcelona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.