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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 29.6 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas 0–1 Rayo Vallecano | 0.68–1.24 | 20% · 30% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Valencia 3–0 Getafe | 2.72–0.53 | 83% · 12% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Celta Vigo 3–2 Sevilla | 0.71–2.31 | 10% · 17% · 73% | Won against the xG: Celta Vigo |
| Girona 0–1 Villarreal | 0.25–2.14 | 3% · 15% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Mallorca 2–1 Valladolid | 1.11–1.85 | 23% · 23% · 55% | Won against the xG: Mallorca |
| Atletico Madrid 4–0 Real Sociedad | 1.33–0.49 | 58% · 29% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Leganes 3–2 Espanyol | 1.51–1.19 | 45% · 25% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Leganes |
| Barcelona 4–3 Real Madrid | 4.26–2.74 | 65% · 13% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Athletic Club 1–0 Alaves | 1.19–0.78 | 46% · 30% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Real Betis 1–1 Osasuna | 0.39–2.23 | 5% · 15% · 80% | Draw against the xG: Osasuna had 80% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.