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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 25.9 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Getafe | 1.37–0.84 | 49% · 28% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Alaves 0–0 Atletico Madrid | 0.50–0.54 | 26% · 46% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Villarreal 4–2 Osasuna | 2.27–1.26 | 60% · 20% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Las Palmas 2–3 Valencia | 1.71–1.35 | 46% · 24% · 30% | Close call, Valencia won |
| Valladolid 1–2 Barcelona | 0.59–2.06 | 9% · 19% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Real Madrid 3–2 Celta Vigo | 2.12–1.85 | 45% · 21% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Sevilla 2–2 Leganes | 2.76–1.04 | 73% · 15% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Sevilla had 73% |
| Espanyol 1–2 Real Betis | 1.28–1.12 | 40% · 28% · 32% | Close call, Real Betis won |
| Real Sociedad 0–0 Athletic Club | 0.92–0.17 | 54% · 39% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Real Sociedad had 54% |
| Girona 1–0 Mallorca | 1.56–0.54 | 62% · 25% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.