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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 24.8 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia 1–1 Espanyol | 0.94–0.34 | 50% · 37% · 13% | Draw in line with xG |
| Barcelona 1–0 Mallorca | 3.45–0.25 | 94% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Athletic Club 1–0 Las Palmas | 2.11–1.05 | 62% · 20% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Celta Vigo 3–0 Villarreal | 3.09–0.39 | 89% · 8% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Celta Vigo |
| Getafe 0–1 Real Madrid | 2.36–1.50 | 57% · 19% · 24% | Won against the xG: Real Madrid |
| Alaves 1–0 Real Sociedad | 0.57–0.85 | 23% · 37% · 40% | Won against the xG: Alaves |
| Osasuna 1–0 Sevilla | 0.35–0.76 | 16% · 42% · 42% | Won against the xG: Osasuna |
| Leganes 1–1 Girona | 0.36–0.56 | 19% · 48% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atletico Madrid 3–0 Rayo Vallecano | 2.53–0.73 | 76% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Real Betis 5–1 Valladolid | 1.81–0.80 | 61% · 23% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.