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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 23.9 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club 1–1 Getafe | 0.33–0.84 | 14% · 40% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Real Betis 1–1 Girona | 1.38–1.58 | 33% · 24% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Celta Vigo 2–1 Alaves | 0.83–1.60 | 19% · 25% · 56% | Won against the xG: Celta Vigo |
| Las Palmas 2–2 Sevilla | 1.41–1.85 | 29% · 23% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Osasuna 1–1 Leganes | 1.74–0.98 | 55% · 24% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Osasuna had 55% |
| Valencia 1–2 Barcelona | 1.01–3.22 | 8% · 12% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Real Sociedad 1–2 Rayo Vallecano | 1.08–1.11 | 35% · 29% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Mallorca 1–1 Real Madrid | 1.03–0.60 | 45% · 34% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Valladolid 1–0 Espanyol | 0.80–0.66 | 36% · 37% · 27% | Close call, Valladolid won |
| Villarreal 2–2 Atletico Madrid | 0.79–1.11 | 26% · 31% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.