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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 27.8 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal 4–3 Celta Vigo | 3.64–2.72 | 56% · 15% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Mallorca 0–0 Sevilla | 0.90–0.74 | 37% · 35% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Barcelona | 0.43–1.40 | 11% · 27% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Athletic Club 1–0 Valencia | 1.38–0.08 | 72% · 26% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Valladolid 0–0 Leganes | 1.00–0.18 | 57% · 37% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Valladolid had 57% |
| Real Sociedad 1–2 Alaves | 1.15–1.54 | 28% · 25% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Alaves |
| Atletico Madrid 0–0 Espanyol | 2.47–0.61 | 78% · 15% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Atletico Madrid had 78% |
| Girona 4–0 Osasuna | 2.29–0.04 | 89% · 11% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Las Palmas 1–1 Real Madrid | 0.76–2.95 | 7% · 12% · 81% | Draw against the xG: Real Madrid had 81% |
| Real Betis 2–1 Getafe | 2.93–0.61 | 84% · 11% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.