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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 29.5 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo 1–1 Real Betis | 0.83–0.33 | 46% · 41% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| Athletic Club 1–1 Girona | 1.46–0.78 | 53% · 27% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Athletic Club had 53% |
| Espanyol 2–2 Valencia | 2.57–0.74 | 77% · 15% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Espanyol had 77% |
| Levante 1–4 Real Madrid | 1.60–3.94 | 11% · 11% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Sevilla 1–2 Villarreal | 0.97–1.95 | 18% · 22% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Getafe 1–1 Alaves | 0.24–0.57 | 13% · 51% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atletico Madrid 3–2 Rayo Vallecano | 3.61–1.60 | 75% · 13% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Real Sociedad 1–0 Mallorca | 2.76–0.76 | 79% · 13% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Osasuna 1–1 Elche | 0.90–0.82 | 35% · 34% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Oviedo 1–3 Barcelona | 1.04–2.07 | 18% · 21% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.