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10 of 10 matches with xG: 16 goals from 29.7 xG (0.54 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla 0–0 Alaves | 1.68–0.60 | 64% · 23% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Sevilla had 64% |
| Malaga 1–2 Racing Santander | 2.08–2.44 | 34% · 19% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Racing Santander |
| Espanyol 0–0 Deportivo La Coruna | 0.73–0.25 | 44% · 45% · 12% | Draw in line with xG |
| Osasuna 1–1 Athletic Club | 0.73–2.33 | 10% · 17% · 73% | Draw against the xG: Athletic Club had 73% |
| Valencia 0–3 Real Madrid | 0.26–2.39 | 3% · 12% · 85% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Elche 0–2 Real Betis | 1.25–2.05 | 23% · 21% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Real Sociedad 1–0 Rayo Vallecano | 1.70–1.39 | 45% · 24% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Celta Vigo 0–0 Levante | 3.24–0.34 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Celta Vigo had 91% |
| Villarreal 2–0 Getafe | 2.38–0.68 | 75% · 16% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Atletico Madrid 1–2 Barcelona | 1.57–1.63 | 37% · 23% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.