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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 29.8 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal 0–1 Espanyol | 0.96–0.27 | 52% · 37% · 10% | Won against the xG: Espanyol |
| Levante 0–2 Atletico Madrid | 1.33–0.63 | 54% · 29% · 18% | Won against the xG: Atletico Madrid |
| Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Celta Vigo | 1.13–1.41 | 30% · 26% · 43% | Close call, Rayo Vallecano won |
| Real Betis 2–1 Malaga | 1.84–1.18 | 53% · 23% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Barcelona 6–1 Alaves | 3.30–0.78 | 85% · 10% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Getafe 3–1 Sevilla | 1.62–0.74 | 58% · 25% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Getafe |
| Racing Santander 0–3 Real Madrid | 1.05–3.41 | 8% · 11% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Elche 0–1 Valencia | 1.33–0.96 | 45% · 28% · 27% | Won against the xG: Valencia |
| Athletic Club 2–1 Real Sociedad | 3.12–1.17 | 76% · 13% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Deportivo La Coruna 2–1 Osasuna | 2.39–1.16 | 65% · 18% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo La Coruna |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.