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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 27.1 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves 1–1 Malaga | 1.55–0.49 | 64% · 25% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Alaves had 64% |
| Rayo Vallecano 0–3 Elche | 1.61–2.63 | 22% · 18% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Elche |
| Racing Santander 2–1 Espanyol | 2.50–0.62 | 78% · 14% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Racing Santander |
| Valencia 1–2 Villarreal | 1.17–1.52 | 29% · 25% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Atletico Madrid 1–0 Deportivo La Coruna | 1.44–2.02 | 27% · 22% · 51% | Won against the xG: Atletico Madrid |
| Athletic Club 4–0 Getafe | 0.77–0.42 | 41% · 41% · 18% | Close call, Athletic Club won |
| Celta Vigo 0–0 Real Betis | 0.92–1.14 | 29% · 30% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Real Sociedad 2–1 Levante | 2.54–0.70 | 77% · 15% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid | 1.27–2.01 | 24% · 22% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Sevilla 2–0 Osasuna | 1.20–0.63 | 50% · 31% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.