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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 28.5 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Levante | 1.11–0.83 | 42% · 31% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Espanyol 0–1 Atletico Madrid | 0.51–1.47 | 13% · 26% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Villarreal 0–0 Elche | 2.38–0.30 | 84% · 13% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Villarreal had 84% |
| Real Betis 2–5 Barcelona | 1.24–3.10 | 12% · 14% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Valencia 0–0 Athletic Club | 1.41–0.59 | 57% · 27% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Valencia had 57% |
| Osasuna 2–0 Racing Santander | 3.65–0.28 | 94% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Osasuna |
| Celta Vigo 2–1 Alaves | 0.97–1.06 | 32% · 31% · 37% | Close call, Celta Vigo won |
| Malaga 2–5 Real Sociedad | 1.24–2.44 | 18% · 18% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Real Madrid 4–1 Sevilla | 2.28–0.75 | 72% · 17% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano | 0.61–2.26 | 8% · 17% · 75% | Draw against the xG: Rayo Vallecano had 75% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.