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9 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 26.0 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga 1–1 Espanyol | 0.69–1.08 | 23% · 32% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Alaves 1–2 Atletico Madrid | 1.30–2.05 | 24% · 21% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Barcelona 3–0 Getafe | 1.93–0.14 | 82% · 16% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal | 1.43–0.59 | 58% · 27% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Elche 0–0 Celta Vigo | 0.78–0.47 | 40% · 40% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| Real Sociedad 3–2 Deportivo La Coruna | 1.44–2.13 | 26% · 21% · 53% | Won against the xG: Real Sociedad |
| Real Betis 5–2 Osasuna | 2.89–1.94 | 58% · 17% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Racing Santander 2–2 Valencia | 1.28–1.80 | 27% · 23% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| Levante 3–3 Sevilla | 1.82–2.20 | 33% · 20% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.