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4 of 11 matches with xG: 15 goals from 10.7 xG (1.40 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad II 2–2 Mirandes | 1.40–0.77 | 52% · 27% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Real Sociedad II had 52% |
| AD Ceuta FC 1–4 Malaga | 1.24–1.16 | 38% · 28% · 34% | Close call, Malaga won |
| Cultural Leonesa 2–1 Eibar | 1.41–1.96 | 28% · 22% · 50% | Won against the xG: Cultural Leonesa |
| Deportivo La Coruna 2–1 FC Andorra | 1.82–0.93 | 58% · 23% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo La Coruna |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.