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11 of 11 matches with xG: 35 goals from 31.6 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF 2–1 Valladolid | 0.87–1.36 | 24% · 28% · 48% | Won against the xG: Granada CF |
| Cordoba 2–0 Eibar | 2.56–1.68 | 57% · 19% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Cordoba |
| Leganes 1–1 Mallorca | 2.64–0.97 | 73% · 16% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Leganes had 73% |
| Girona 5–1 Celta de Vigo II | 3.32–0.73 | 86% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Las Palmas 1–0 Real Sociedad II | 1.09–0.92 | 39% · 31% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Las Palmas |
| Almeria 2–2 Oviedo | 0.70–1.35 | 19% · 28% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Oviedo had 52% |
| Sabadell 1–1 Tenerife | 0.90–0.70 | 38% · 35% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Albacete 2–0 Eldense | 1.06–0.94 | 38% · 31% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Albacete |
| Cadiz 3–1 AD Ceuta FC | 1.55–2.43 | 24% · 19% · 57% | Won against the xG: Cadiz |
| Castellón 4–0 Sporting Gijon | 1.88–0.63 | 67% · 21% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Castellón |
| FC Andorra 2–3 Burgos | 1.78–1.56 | 43% · 23% · 34% | Close call, Burgos won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.